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Shane Parrish
Você está em uma reunião. Uma decisão precisa ser tomada.
Os dados estão incompletos. Mas sentar-se com a incerteza parece insuportável, então alguém, muitas vezes a pessoa de maior status, propõe uma solução. De repente, todos se sentem aliviados. Não porque é a resposta certa, mas porque é uma resposta.
Então, qual é a solução?
Quando o custo do fracasso é baixo, decida rapidamente. Quando o custo do fracasso é alto, desacelere.
Isso significa permitir-se sentar com a incerteza.
19/11/2025
Why do smart people make bad decisions?
Charlie Munger discovered 25 tendencies sabotaging your judgment right now.
Here they are:
1. Reward and Punishment Superresponse Tendency
2. Liking/Loving Tendency
3. Disliking/Hating Tendency
4. Doubt-Avoidance Tendency
5. Inconsistency-Avoidance Tendency
6. Curiosity Tendency
7. Kantian Fairness Tendency
8. Envy/Jealousy Tendency
9. Reciprocation Tendency
10. Influence-from-Mere-Association Tendency
11. Simple, Pain-Avoiding Psychological Denial
12. Excessive Self-Regard Tendency
13. Overoptimism Tendency
14. Deprival-Superreaction Tendency
15. Social-Proof Tendency
16. Contrast-Misreaction Tendency
17. Stress-Influence Tendency
18. Availability-Misweighing Tendency
19. Use-It-or-Lose-It Tendency
20. Drug-Misinfluence Tendency
21. Senescence-Misinfluence Tendency
22. Authority-Misinfluence Tendency
23. Twaddle Tendency
24. Reason-Respecting Tendency
25. Lollapalooza Tendency—The Tendency to Get Extreme Consequences from Confluences of
Psychology Tendencies Acting in Favor of a Particular Outcome
Listen now "Charlie Munger and The Psychology of Human Misjudgement on The Knowledge Project"
81,39K
"Não é a ganância que move o mundo, mas a inveja."
19/11/2025
Why do smart people make bad decisions?
Charlie Munger discovered 25 tendencies sabotaging your judgment right now.
Here they are:
1. Reward and Punishment Superresponse Tendency
2. Liking/Loving Tendency
3. Disliking/Hating Tendency
4. Doubt-Avoidance Tendency
5. Inconsistency-Avoidance Tendency
6. Curiosity Tendency
7. Kantian Fairness Tendency
8. Envy/Jealousy Tendency
9. Reciprocation Tendency
10. Influence-from-Mere-Association Tendency
11. Simple, Pain-Avoiding Psychological Denial
12. Excessive Self-Regard Tendency
13. Overoptimism Tendency
14. Deprival-Superreaction Tendency
15. Social-Proof Tendency
16. Contrast-Misreaction Tendency
17. Stress-Influence Tendency
18. Availability-Misweighing Tendency
19. Use-It-or-Lose-It Tendency
20. Drug-Misinfluence Tendency
21. Senescence-Misinfluence Tendency
22. Authority-Misinfluence Tendency
23. Twaddle Tendency
24. Reason-Respecting Tendency
25. Lollapalooza Tendency—The Tendency to Get Extreme Consequences from Confluences of
Psychology Tendencies Acting in Favor of a Particular Outcome
Listen now "Charlie Munger and The Psychology of Human Misjudgement on The Knowledge Project"
30,25K
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